A Wall Street Journal bestseller now in paperback. Poker champion turned decision strategist
Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions.Even
the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck
that you can't control and there's always information hidden from view. So the key to
long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I?
What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of
success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my
success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?Annie Duke a former World
Series of Poker champion turned consultant draws on examples from business sports politics
and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better
decisions. For most people it's difficult to say I'm not sure in a world that values and even
rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the
fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always
lead to bad outcomes.By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of
accurately assessing what you know and what you don't you'll be less vulnerable to reactive
emotions knee-jerk biases and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more
confident calm compassionate and successful in the long run.
