EAN: 9783319654324

Produktdaten aktualisiert am: 21.11.2024
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Late in a career of more than sixty years Thomas Burch an internationally known social demographer undertook a wide-ranging methodological critique of demography. This open access volume contains a selection of resulting papers some previously unpublished some published but not readily accessible. Rejecting the idea that demography is simply a branch of applied statistics his work views it as an autonomous and complete scientific discipline. When viewed from the perspective of modern philosophy of science specifically the semantic or model-based school demography is a balanced discipline with a rich body of techniques and data but also with more and better theories than generally recognized. As demonstrated in this book some demographic techniques can also be seen as theoretical models and some substantive behavioral models commonly rejected as theory because of inconsistent observations are now seen as valuable theoretical models for example demographic transitiontheory. This book shows how demography can build a strong theoretical edifice on its broad and deep empirical foundation by adoption of the model-based approach to science. But the full-fruits of this approach will require demographers to make greater use of computer modeling in the statement and manipulation of theoretical ideas as well as for numerical computation.

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