Micha Hirschinger emphasizes the importance of foresight on logistics and institutions in
particular for effective decision making as distinct research in this context is limited. He
applies a systematic and transferable multi-method approach based on Delphi studies and fuzzy
c-means cluster analysis to develop profound scenarios for the future. He uses the relevance of
information-processing requirements to investigate whether centralization of purchasing
organizations increases functional efficiency. The author finally shows how a sharing-economy
business model transfer could help to overcome the limited access to factor markets especially
trucks at the base of the pyramid.