EAN: 9783030424749

DEVELOPMENTS IN DEMOGRAPHIC FORECASTING KARTONI...

This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting 
covering both mortality  fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to
forecast them are presented. Moreover  instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided.
Bayesian models  nonparametric models  cohort approaches  elicitation of expert opinion 
evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition 
the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with
some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the
new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers  applied
statisticians  as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of
population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find
useful new ideas in various chapters.

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