EAN: 9783319749525

TIME PREDICTIONS - TORLEIF HALKJELSVIK MAGNE JØ...

This book is published open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. Predicting the time needed to
complete a project  task or daily activity can be difficult and people frequently underestimate
how long an activity will take. This book sheds light on why and when this happens  what we
should do to avoid it and how to give more realistic time predictions. It describes methods for
predicting time usage in situations with high uncertainty  explains why two plus two is usually
more than four in time prediction contexts  reports on research on time prediction biases  and
summarizes the evidence in support of different time prediction methods and principles. Based
on a comprehensive review of the research  it is the first book summarizing what we know about
judgment-based time predictions. Large parts of the book are directed toward people wishing to
achieve better time predictions in their professional life  such as project managers  graphic
designers  architects  engineers  film producers  consultants  software developers  or anyone
else in need of realistic time usage predictions. It is also of benefit to those with a general
interest in judgment and decision-making or those who want to improve their ability to predict
and plan ahead in daily life.

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