EAN: 9783662025734

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF ECONOMI...

In 1984  the University of Bonn (FRG) and the International Institute for Applied System
Analysis (IIASA) in Laxenburg (Austria)  created a joint research group to analyze the
relationship between economic growth and structural change. The research team was to examine
the commodity composition as well as the size and direction of commodity and credit flows among
countries and regions. Krelle (1988) reports on the results of this Bonn-IIASA research
project. At the same time  an informal IIASA Working Group was initiated to deal with prob lems
of the statistical analysis of economic data in the context of structural change: What tools do
we have to identify nonconstancy of model parameters? What type of models are particularly
applicable to nonconstant structure? How is forecasting affected by the presence of nonconstant
structure? What problems should be anticipated in applying these tools and models? Some 50
experts  mainly statisticians or econometricians from about 15 countries  came together in Lodz
Poland (May 1985)  Berlin  GDR (June 1986)  and Sulejov  Poland (September 1986) to present and
discuss their findings. This volume contains a selected set of those conference contributions
as well as several specially invited chapters.

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