EAN: 9783731512363

PERSPECTIVES ON WARM CONVEYOR BELTS - SENSITIVI...

Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale
extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby
wave pattern  they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates
on two aspects of WCBs in the context of ensemble forecasts: (1) sensitivities of WCBs to the
representation of initial condition and model uncertainties  and (2) the role of WCBs for
forecast error growth.

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