EAN: 9780141999289

END TIMES - PETER TURCHIN TASCHENBUCH

THE THOUGHT BOOK OF THE YEAR  THE TIMES A GUARDIAN BOOK OF THE YEAR'Game of Thrones-style
intra-elite conflict meets big data' TLS'Extraordinary. . . the culmination of many years of
highly original and innovative work' BloombergOne of the most iconoclastic thinkers of our time
offers a brilliant new theory of how society works What leads to political turbulence and
social breakdown? How do elites maintain their dominant position? And why do ruling classes
sometimes suddenly lose their grip on power?For decades  complexity scientist Peter Turchin has
been studying world history like no-one else. Assembling vast databases mined from 10 000 years
of human activity  and then developing new models  he has transformed the way we learn from the
past. End Times is the result: a ground-breaking account of how society works.The lessons  he
argues  are clear. When the balance of power between the ruling class and the majority tips too
far in favour of elites  income inequality surges. The rich get richer  the poor further
impoverished. As more people try to join the elite  frustration with the establishment brims
over  often with disastrous consequences. Elite overproduction led to state breakdown in
imperial China  in medieval France  in the American Civil War - and it is happening now.But
while we are far along the path toward violent political rupture  Turchin's models also light
the way to a brighter future. Drawing insight from those occasions in history where the balance
was restored  End Times also points towards a different future: an escape from the patterns of
the past.BEST BOOKS OF SUMMER 2023: THE GUARDIAN * THE TIMES * SUNDAY TIMES

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