EAN: 9780141999289

END TIMES - PETER TURCHIN TASCHENBUCH

THE THOUGHT BOOK OF THE YEAR  THE TIMES   A GUARDIAN BOOK OF THE YEAR    ' Game of Thrones
-style intra-elite conflict meets big data' TLS    'Extraordinary. . . the culmination of many
years of highly original and innovative work' Bloomberg    One of the most iconoclastic
thinkers of our time offers a brilliant new theory of how society works    What leads to
political turbulence and social breakdown? How do elites maintain their dominant position? And
why do ruling classes sometimes suddenly lose their grip on power?   For decades  complexity
scientist Peter Turchin has been studying world history like no-one else. Assembling vast
databases mined from 10 000 years of human activity  and then developing new models  he has
transformed the way we learn from the past. End Times is the result: a ground-breaking account
of how society works.  The lessons  he argues  are clear. When the balance of power between the
ruling class and the majority tips too far in favour of elites  income inequality surges. The
rich get richer  the poor further impoverished. As more people try to join the elite 
frustration with the establishment brims over  often with disastrous consequences. Elite
overproduction led to state breakdown in imperial China  in medieval France  in the American
Civil War - and it is happening now.  But while we are far along the path toward violent
political rupture  Turchin's models also light the way to a brighter future. Drawing insight
from those occasions in history where the balance was restored  End Times also points towards a
different future: an escape from the patterns of the past.   BEST BOOKS OF SUMMER 2023: THE
GUARDIAN * THE TIMES * SUNDAY TIMES

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