EAN: 9780141034591

TALEB NASSIM NICHOLAS - GEBRAUCHT THE BLACK SWA...

THE BLACK SWAN is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans
underlie almost everything  from the rise of religions  to events in our own lives. A Black
Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable  it
carries a massive impact  and  after the fact  we concoct an explanation that makes it appear
less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black
swan  so was 9 11. Why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they
occur? As Taleb reveals  we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk  too vulnerable to the
impulse to simplify and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In
this revelatory book  Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know  and shows us
how to face the world.

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